By Shahriar Kia
It appears already that fierce internal
disputes among Iranian regime officials have risen to new levels during
the first two 2017 presidential debates held on April 28 and May 6.
Iranian president Hassan Rouhani repeated his strong remarks against
the camp loyal to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. However, a close review of
the debates sheds light on the truly disastrous conditions inside the mullahs'
regime.
At first, one-on-one debates were
canceled, and steps were taken to call off all live debates. Interior
Minister Rahmani Fazli went so far as to say, "Our security is more
important than the election."
But sensing the need to inject new life
into the election and encourage people to participate, the regime put the
debate broadcasts back on schedule. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei called
for a high voter turnout, saying whom the people vote for is "not important."
Of course, knowing the nature of this
regime, one cannot rule out the possibility that behind-the-curtain
arrangements were made to keep certain issues off limits during the debates,
including:
- The
criminal past of Ebrahim Raisi and especially his role in the 1988 massacre of over 30,000
political prisoners.
- The
theft record of Rouhani's own brother.
- Embezzlement
cases involving hundreds of millions of dollars.
- The Plasco building embarrassment for Tehran mayor Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, a current candidate in this election.
Iran's domestic crises reflect social
calamities and the unending dispute between the Iranian people and the ruling
regime. To add insult to injury for Khamenei and the entire mullahs'
apparatus, regional and international issues have flared into turmoil far worse
than four years ago, creating major side-effects within the regime.
One such result is the scene witnessed in the first debate.
"Those of us inside this system, who
claim to be the opposition, we are doing so just to legitimize our
positions," Hashemi Taba, a presidential candidate, said on April 28.
This means that the regime is so utterly
hated and illegitimate that the same figures who have been involved in the
crimes of the past four decades are now forced to distance themselves.
For those who listened carefully, during the debates, there was no mention of
Khamenei or regime founder Khomeini, the candidates being well aware of
how hated the two figures are among the public.
Vice President Eshagh Jahangiri lashed out
at Ghalibaf over the Saudi embassy raid, showing how Tehran has found itself
facing a major crisis in international relations. Jahangiri went as far
as to accuse Ghalibaf of hiring the main organizer of that raid as part of his
election campaign team.
And recently, the "moderate"
Rouhani's defense minister, Hossein Dehghan, threatened Saudi Arabia not to
carry out any "ignorant measures," or else "we will leave no
area untouched" in the kingdom.
A look at the past shows that there is a
continuing trend seen after presidential "elections." When
Rafsanjani took over this post in 1989 after the Iran-Iraq War, he raised the
flag of "reconstruction" and "adjustments" in order to lure
foreign investors into Iran.
When that scenario failed, Mohammad
Khatami took over in 1997 claiming to be a "reformist," only to
fail miserably, and is now under house arrest by the very regime he served.
Khamenei then resorted to giving the helm
to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2005 to
pursue his dream of obtaining nuclear weapons. The Iranian opposition
National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI),
however, has shed important light on Tehran's nuclear weapons drive and
continues to do so.
And in 2013, Rouhani raised the flag of
"moderation," all under orders from Khamenei to relieve
the regime of international pressures. The debates, however, may
have given notice of his expiration date.
Raisi's failure in presenting an
acceptable image and bungling the opportunity to take it hard to his rivals
sealed the fact that the debates have so far been a major failure for the
regime as a whole. It has become obvious that Raisi is Khamenei's
candidate, and the mere fact that the man who has the final word in all
national security and foreign affairs has no other choice but to place his
weight behind a figure involved in so many executions is another sign of
Khamenei facing a dead end.
The supreme leader has also failed to
resolve the rifts in his faction by at least convincing Ghalibaf to step aside
in favor of Raisi.
To this end, as far as the regime is
concerned, there are no differences among Rouhani, Raisi, Ghalibaf, or any
other individual currently running for the presidency. Whatever the
result of this sham election, this regime is spiraling fast towards
unprecedented and very dangerous crises.
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